It’s a quiet Sunday afternoon and you’re scrolling through the Lululemon website. The new Scuba Oversized Full-Zip Hoodie jacket catches your eye. It’s sleek and looks extremely comfortable. $148. You hover for a moment. It’s not outrageous... but it’s enough to give you pause. The price is just a bit too much to stomach. Then, right beneath the price, a soft gray line appears: “Or 4 payments of $37 with Afterpay. Interest-free.” Your mentality shifts. That $148 doesn’t feel like $148 anymore. It feels like $37, a number small enough to slide past your internal budget filter. The hesitation fades. You’re not deciding whether to spend $148; you’re deciding whether to part with $37 today. And that’s easy. Click. Add to Cart. You’ve just been hustled, and it happened by design. Across digital storefronts, those four-payment promises have become a new normal. Merchants are paying companies like Affirm, Klarna, and Afterpay for the privilege of displaying those reassuring words beneath the price tag. They’re not buying technology; they’re buying psychology. Because the simple presence of that “Pay in 4” option reliably turns browsers into buyers and hesitation into conversion. The modern checkout page isn’t just processing payments, it’s shaping decisions. The BNPL Proposition: Why Merchants Pay for “Free” Payment Options The buy now, pay later industry has exploded from relative obscurity to a $100+ billion industry in less than a decade¹. The pitch to consumers is seductive: split your purchase into four interest-free payments, with the first due at checkout and the rest spread over six weeks. No credit check. No interest charged. Just seamless, frictionless spending. Merchants are happily paying companies like Affirm, Klarna, and Afterpay between 2-8% of each purchase, which is more than traditional credit card processing fees. That might sound backward: why would a retailer pay extra to let you pay later? Retailers are smart, they've run the numbers and are making a calculated investment in consumer psychology. Offering BNPL can increase conversion rates by 20-30% and boost average order values by 30-50%. For a retailer with thin margins, paying a 5% fee to increase sales by 30% is an obvious trade. The merchant isn't absorbing the cost of BNPL, the consumer's increased spending is covering it many times over. Behavioral economics helps explain why. Research shows what academics call payment depreciation²: the pain of paying decreases as we separate the act of payment from the moment of consumption. Paying $400 for a new coat feels substantial. Paying "just $100 today" for the same coat feels manageable, even trivial. BNPL services exploit this cognitive quirk with precision. By fragmenting a single transaction into multiple smaller ones, they minimize the psychological weight of each payment. Each payment feels smaller, more manageable, and more “affordable.” The friction of spending disappears, and with it, our natural brake on overconsumption. They also take advantage of mental accounting errors³. When we commit to four $100 payments spread across six weeks, we rarely account for the cumulative burden of multiple BNPL purchases overlapping. The result? Consumers often find themselves juggling a constellation of small recurring payments that add up to far more than they intended to spend. Buy now, pay later is not just a convenience feature. It’s a sales strategy built on a troubling alignment of incentives. BNPL companies profit from transaction volume. Merchants profit from larger purchases. The only party not clearly benefiting is the consumer, who is quietly being nudged to spend more than intended. The Credit Card Parallel: A Familiar Pattern Payment depreciation isn’t new. Credit cards have been running this same playbook for more than fifty years⁴. Before credit cards became ubiquitous, spending money meant a tangible, immediate exchange: handing over cash and watching it leave your wallet. Studies from the 1970s and 1980s found that consumers consistently spent more with credit cards than with cash⁵. The reason wasn’t greater wealth, it was distance. Plastic introduced a mental gap between the joy of buying and the pain of paying. The swipe (and later, the tap) became an abstraction. Credit cards transformed spending from a coarse, transactional experience into a barely-there gesture. The consequence arrives weeks later, condensed into a monthly credit statement: a list of numbers that feels detached from the actual pleasure of the purchases themselves. That delay matters. When payment and consumption occur at different times, our brains struggle to connect the two experiences. The dopamine hit of buying something new is immediate. The discomfort of paying for it arrives later, diluted and abstract. The result is predictable: we spend more. The Frictionless Trap: Design That Disarms Deliberation What BNPL services share with credit cards, and what modern payment technology has perfected, is the elimination of friction. Every barrier removed from the payment process represents another opportunity for spending to bypass our deliberative, rational brain and tap directly into our impulsive, emotional one⁶. Consider the evolution: Cash required counting and physical exchange ➡ Checks required writing, signing, and tracking ➡ Early credit cards required signatures and carbon-copy receipts ➡ Then came chip readers, then tap-to-pay, then one-click purchasing. Each innovation made paying faster, easier, more seamless, and more dangerous to our financial self-control. Amazon's "Buy Now with 1-Click" wasn't just a convenience feature; it was a weapon against deliberation. The few seconds you once spent typing your address or confirming your card number were moments of reflection. That was your prefrontal cortex having a chance to ask, "Do I really need this?" One-click purchasing erased that pause. BNPL is the purest expression of that trend. It combines the abstraction of credit with the instant gratification of one-click shopping, all wrapped in the comforting illusion that you’re not borrowing, you’re just “splitting” a payment you were going to make anyway. The Illusion of Control What makes frictionless payment systems so effective, and so dangerous, is that they masquerade as tools of empowerment⁷. BNPL and credit card companies market themselves as budgeting allies: “Manage your cash flow.” “Take control of your spending.” “Plan smarter.” The reality is that they profit when you spend more. That misalignment of incentives matters. BNPL companies earn from transaction volume. Merchants earn from larger sales. The consumer’s best interests aren’t a factor. Many BNPL executives insist that it isn’t their role to judge how consumers spend their hard-earned cash. That framing absolves them of responsibility while encouraging overconsumption. And the illusion of control feeds directly into our overconfidence bias and the belief that because we can track our payments, we will manage them responsibly⁸. In reality, the opposite often happens. Multiple small debts accumulate quietly across apps and merchants. The result is the digital equivalent of “death by a thousand cuts.” The data supports this. A January report from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found that consumers with subprime or deep subprime FICO scores accounted for nearly two-thirds of BNPL originations⁹. More concerning, a growing share of those loans now fund essentials such as groceries and takeout meals. The consumers least equipped to absorb risk are using these systems the most. The Hidden Cost of Convenience Every system that separates payment from purchase creates the same psychological gap: pleasure now, pain later. Casinos have long understood this. That’s why they use chips instead of cash. Mobile games use gems and coins. Subscription apps use free trials. Each one exploits our tendency to undervalue future costs compared to present rewards¹⁰ (a phenomenon known as present bias). BNPL, credit cards, and digital wallets are all built on this same foundation: make the act of paying invisible. In that sense, frictionless payments are not neutral tools. They are engineered experiences designed to disarm deliberation, reduce emotional resistance, and normalize debt as a default mode of consumption. When an economy depends on consumer spending, every design decision pushes in one direction: less friction, more flow, more transactions¹¹. Reclaiming Deliberation Understanding the psychology isn't about rejecting these tools entirely. I use credit cards myself because they offer genuine benefits: fraud protection, purchase tracking, and rewards. But I also recognize that those perks likely cost me more than they save, simply by encouraging me to spend more freely. The problem I want to target isn’t the technology itself. It’s the asymmetry of awareness. These companies have invested billions of dollars and employed armies of psychologists, designers, and behavioral economists to understand exactly how to maximize your spending. The least we can do is recognize when we're being nudged. The goal isn’t to abandon modern payment systems, it’s to reintroduce some friction into our own financial lives. Friction, in this context, is mindfulness. It’s the pause that allows reflection to catch up to our impulses. A few simple (and realistic) examples:
The next time you see "or pay in 4 interest-free installments" at checkout, pause. Ask yourself: would you make this purchase if you had to pay the full amount today? If the answer is no, then you're not making a considered financial decision, you're being guided by design. In an age of frictionless payments, friction might be the most valuable feature left in our financial lives. Sometimes the best defense against spending too much is simply making it slightly harder to spend at all. More Reading: The Myth of the Perfect Age for Financial Success The Psychology of Comparison: How Social Media Rewires Our Money Mindset Mental Accounting: Why the Same Dollar Never Feels the Same _____________________________________________________________________
References:
0 Comments
Your comment will be posted after it is approved.
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorAndrew Lancaster, CFP® Categories
All
|
|
© 2025 The New Diligence
|

RSS Feed